Browsing by Author "Allison, CE"

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    Atmospheric CO2 and d13C-CO2 reconstruction of the little ice age from antarctic ice cores
    (Copernicus Publications, 2015-04-12) Rubino, M; Etheridge, DM; Trudinger, CM; Allison, CE; Rayner, PJ; Mulvaney, R; Steele, LP; Langenfelds, RL; Sturges, WT; Curran, MAJ; Smith, AM
    The decrease of atmospheric CO2 concentration recorded in Antarctic ice around 1600 AD is one of the most significant atmospheric changes to have occurred during the last millennia, before the onset of the industrial period.Together with the temperature decrease, the CO2 drop has been used to derive the sensitivity of carbon stores to climate. However, the cause of it is still under debate because models are not yet able to reproduce either its magnitude, or its timing. Here we present new measurements of the CO2 concentration decrease recorded in an ice core from a medium accumulation rate site in Antarctica (DML). We show that the new record is compatible(differences <2 ppm) with the CO2 record from the high accumulation rate DSS site on Law Dome (East Antarctica), when the different age distributions are taken into account. We have also measured the d13C-CO2 change in DML ice, filling a gap around 1600 AD in the DSS d13C record. We use a double deconvolution of the CO2 and d13C records together to provide quantitative evidence that the CO2 decrease was caused by a change in the net flux to the terrestrial biosphere. Finally, we provide a new interpretation of a published record showing increasing atmospheric carbonyl sulphide during the CO2 decrease, suggesting that cooler LIA climate affected terrestrial biospheric fluxes. Altogether our findings support the hypothesis that reduced soil heterotrophic respiration is likely to have given the most significant contribution to the LIA CO2 decrease implying a positive CO2-climate feedback. © 2015, Authors.
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    Low atmospheric CO2 levels during the Little Ice Age due to cooling-induced terrestrial uptake
    (Springer Nature, 2016-07-25) Rubino, M; Etheridge, DM; Trudinger, CM; Allison, CE; Rayner, PJ; Enting, I; Mulvaney, R; Steele, LP; Langenfelds, RL; Sturges, WT; Curran, MAJ; Smith, AM
    Low atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration1 during the Little Ice Age has been used to derive the global carbon cycle sensitivity to temperature2. Recent evidence3 confirms earlier indications4 that the low CO2 was caused by increased terrestrial carbon storage. It remains unknown whether the terrestrial biosphere responded to temperature variations, or there was vegetation re-growth on abandoned farmland5. Here we present a global numerical simulation of atmospheric carbonyl sulfide concentrations in the pre-industrial period. Carbonyl sulfide concentration is linked to changes in gross primary production6 and shows a positive anomaly7 during the Little Ice Age. We show that a decrease in gross primary production and a larger decrease in ecosystem respiration is the most likely explanation for the decrease in atmospheric CO2 and increase in atmospheric carbonyl sulfide concentrations. Therefore, temperature change, not vegetation re-growth, was the main cause of the increased terrestrial carbon storage. We address the inconsistency between ice-core CO2 records from different sites8 measuring CO2 and δ13CO2 in ice from Dronning Maud Land (Antarctica). Our interpretation allows us to derive the temperature sensitivity of pre-industrial CO2 fluxes for the terrestrial biosphere (γL = −10 to −90 Pg C K−1), implying a positive climate feedback and providing a benchmark to reduce model uncertainties. © 2016, Nature Publishing Group.
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    Natural and anthropogenic changes in atmospheric greenhouse gases over the past 2 millennia
    (Australian Antarctic Division, 2013-06-24) Etheridge, DM; Rubino, M; Trudinger, CM; Allison, CE; Steele, LP; Thornton, DP; Vollmer, M; Krummel, PB; Smith, AM; Curran, MAJ; Sturgess, WT
    Millennial changes in atmospheric trace gas composition are best determined from air enclosed in ice sheets. Air extracted from the open pores in firn and the bubbles in ice is measured to derive the past concentrations and isotopic ratios of the long lived trace gases. The significant increases observed in CO2, CH4 and N2O since about 1750 and the more recent appearance of synthetic gases such as the CFCs in the atmosphere are a key feature of the anthropocene. The millennia preceding the anthropocene, the Late Pre-Industrial Holocene (LPIH), show evidence of natural changes in trace gases that can be used to constrain models and improve their ability to predict future changes under scenarios of anthropogenic emissions and climate change. Precise measurements and ice core air samples that are accurately dated and highly resolved in time are required to record the small and rapid trace gas signals of this period. The atmospheric composition records produced by CSIRO and collaborators using the Law Dome, Antarctica ice cores are widely used in models of climate, atmospheric chemistry and the carbon cycle over the anthropocene and the LPIH. Results from these studies have been influential in informing global policies, including the Montreal and Kyoto Protocols. We will present the recently revised trace gas records from Law Dome and new measurements of tracers from these and other ice sites that reveal the causes of atmospheric changes over the anthropocene and the LPIH.
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    Revised records of atmospheric trace gases CO2, CH4, N2O, and δ13C-CO2 over the last 2000 years from Law Dome, Antarctica
    (Copernicus Publications, 2019-04-11) Rubino, M; Etheridge, DM; Thornton, DP; Howden, R; Allison, CE; Francey, RJ; Langenfelds, RL; Steele, LP; Trudinger, CM; Spencer, DA; Curran, MAJ; van Ommen, TD; Smith, AM
    Ice core records of the major atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O) and their isotopologues covering recent centuries provide evidence of biogeochemical variations during the Late Holocene and pre-industrial periods and over the transition to the industrial period. These records come from a number of ice core and firn air sites and have been measured in several laboratories around the world and show common features but also unresolved differences. Here we present revised records, including new measurements, performed at the CSIRO Ice Core Extraction LABoratory (ICELAB) on air samples from ice obtained at the high-accumulation site of Law Dome (East Antarctica). We are motivated by the increasing use of the records by the scientific community and by recent data-handling developments at CSIRO ICELAB. A number of cores and firn air samples have been collected at Law Dome to provide high-resolution records overlapping recent, direct atmospheric observations. The records have been updated through a dynamic link to the calibration scales used in the Global Atmospheric Sampling LABoratory (GASLAB) at CSIRO, which are periodically revised with information from the latest calibration experiments. The gas-age scales have been revised based on new ice-age scales and the information derived from a new version of the CSIRO firn diffusion model. Additionally, the records have been revised with new, rule-based selection criteria and updated corrections for biases associated with the extraction procedure and the effects of gravity and diffusion in the firn. All measurements carried out in ICELAB–GASLAB over the last 25 years are now managed through a database (the ICElab dataBASE or ICEBASE), which provides consistent data management, automatic corrections and selection of measurements, and a web-based user interface for data extraction. We present the new records, discuss their strengths and limitations, and summarise their main features. The records reveal changes in the carbon cycle and atmospheric chemistry over the last 2 millennia, including the major changes of the anthropogenic era and the smaller, mainly natural variations beforehand. They provide the historical data to calibrate and test the next inter-comparison of models used to predict future climate change (Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project – phase 6, CMIP6). The datasets described in this paper, including spline fits, are available at https://doi.org/10.25919/5bfe29ff807fb (Rubino et al., 2019). © Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
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    Terrestrial uptake due to cooling responsible for low atmospheric CO2 during the Little Ice Age
    (Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, 2016-03-07) Rubino, M; Etheridge, DM; Trudinger, CM; Allison, CE; Rayner, PJ; Enting, I; Mulvaney, R; Steele, LP; Langenfelds, RL; Sturges, WT; Curran, MAJ; Smith, AM
    Models of future carbon cycle-climate changes predict a large range in atmospheric CO2, mainly because of uncertainties in the response of the land carbon cycle to the future temperature increase. The Little Ice Age (LIA, 1500-1750 AD) CO2 decrease is the most significant pre-industrial atmospheric change over the last millennia and has been used to derive the climate sensitivity of the global carbon cycle (δ). While a recent study confirms that pre-industrial CO2 variations were caused by changes in land carbon stores, there are open questions about the size of the atmospheric LIA CO2 decrease reconstructed from ice cores, and about what caused the land to sequester CO2. To quantify the size of the LIA CO2 decrease, we have produced new CO2 measurements from DML ice, that support the DSS LIA CO2 decrease as a real atmospheric feature. To partition the contribution of ocean and land, we have measured the δ 13C-CO2, showing that the cause of the CO2 drop was uptake by the terrestrial biosphere. To identify whether the land uptake was caused by temperature, or by a decline in farming due to pandemics, we have simulated the effect of a temperature perturbation on atmospheric Carbonyl Sulfide (COS). In agreement with the previously published positive COS anomaly, our results indicate that Global Primary Productivity (GPP) decreased during the LIA, ruling out the early anthropogenic land use change hypothesis as the dominant cause of increased terrestrial carbon storage. This allows us to obtain a new, more coherent estimation of δ in the range -10/-60 Pg of C K-1.
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    Testing atmospheric monitoring techniques for geological storage of CO2
    (Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, 2011-11-15) Etheridge, DM; Loh, ZM; Luhar, A; Leuning, R; Steele, LP; Allison, CE; Smith, AM; Hibberd, MF; Feitz, A; Berko, H
    The success of CO2 geological storage in mitigating climate change will depend on its ability to withhold large amounts of CO2 from the atmosphere over centuries or more. Atmospheric techniques have been used to monitor Australia’s first geosequestration project, the CO2CRC Otway Project, since its inception (Etheridge et al. 2011; Jenkins et al. 2011). These techniques have been developed to be sensitive (detecting small potential leakage signals against large and variable background CO2 concentrations and fluxes), specific (attributing variations to sources using chemical and isotopic fingerprints and dispersion modelling) and practical (continuous remote operation) (Leuning et al. 2008; Luhar et al. 2009). A recent stage of the Otway project involved periods of controlled releases of injected gas at the surface that could mimic leakage. This provided a test of the original atmospheric scheme, complemented by additional measurements of CO2 and CH4 concentrations and carbon isotopes of CO2. Based on the experience at Otway and recent results from the new Arcturus baseline atmospheric station in Queensland, this presentation will consider the potential merits of atmospheric techniques for monitoring greenhouse gas emissions from emerging energy technologies such as geosequestration and coal seam methane. © 2011 CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.